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Jurrien Timmer

Jurrien Timmer✓ Add us as a preferred source on Google

X @timmerfidelity
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🔄 Data last refreshed 22 days ago
This is an unclaimed, auto-generated listing. It was built only from Jurrien Timmer’s publicly available X information. Jurrien Timmer has not claimed, verified, or endorsed it, and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or a partner of SocialDB — no partnership or endorsement is implied, and any prices shown are estimates, not set by the creator.
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Followers
229.2K
Posts
15.8K
Following
1.4K
Account age
11 yrs
💰 Suggested sponsorship rate
🎁 Free analysisfor Jurrien Timmer
🕵️Fake Followers CheckReal-audience % & bot risk→ 📊Engagement rateBenchmarked vs. peers→ 💰What they chargeFair sponsored-post price→

Known for

Historically, the odds of a 10% correction are 40%, a 25% bear market 20%, and a 50% bear market 2%. That means that statistically speaking the further the market falls the more likely it is to recover. Yes, some 20% declines become 50% “super bears,” but more often than not the 440K views Historically, the odds of a 10% correction are 40%, a 25% bear market 20%, and a 50% bear market 2%. That means that statistically speaking the further the market falls the more likely it is to recover. Yes, some 20% declines become 50% “super bears,” but more often than not the

📊 Post performance

19.9K
Avg views / post
8.7%
Reach vs followers
Dec 2014
On X since

🔥 Top post: Historically, the odds of a 10% correction are 40%, a 25% bear m · 440K views

📊 Activity & format

Posting cadence
0.04 / week
A lower-frequency account — each post lands with more weight.
Content mix
Mostly images
Recent: 0 video · 13 image · 5 text.
Follower / following
164×
Follows 1.4K back. A strong ratio — an audience that follows them, not a follow-for-follow network.
Verification
✓ X Premium
A paid X Premium (Blue) verified account.

Recent posts

View on X ↗
🔥 Top post Historically, the odds of a 10% correction are 40%, a 25% bear market 20%, and a 50% bear market 2%. That means that statistically speaking the further the market falls the more likely it is to recover. Yes, some 20% declines become 50% “super bears,” but more often than not the 440K❤ 2.5K🔁 507
It is now 4 years since the current cyclical bull market began on Oct 13, 2022, following a major reset in the cost of capital driven by the COVID-era inflation surge and a double-barreled monetary and fiscal impulse. The fiscal impulse is… 19.9K❤ 158🔁 24 Look who's bullish: Corporate insiders are buying their company stock again in size during this latest sell-off. As the saying goes, insiders sell for all kinds of reasons, but they only buy for one. Given the historical accuracy of their … ❤ 3.5K🔁 752 No bull: If a 14x forward multiple is the correct valuation, then simple math will tell us that the fair value for the S&P 500 is 3200-3400 at an EPS of $230. This suggests that this bear market is not yet over. ❤ 2K🔁 523 Despite strong earnings, the rally from June lows led to a significant valuation creep. The key for this cycle: As the two-year yield goes, so goes the P/E ratio. The S&P 500 gave back two P/E points during the latest down leg, but it’… ❤ 2.2K🔁 357 It’s time for a fresh take on Bitcoin’s supply/demand dynamics. Take a look at this first chart, and we’ll dive in. 🧵 ❤ 3.1K🔁 967 An update on Bitcoin: Let’s take a look at my favorite metrics to see where things stand after last week’s sell-off. /THREAD ❤ 1.9K🔁 531 The pandemic era market in one chart. ❤ 3.8K🔁 1.1K Bitcoin, boring? Gasp! But boring is good if you want institutional adoption. 🧵 ❤ 5.1K🔁 1.2K Bitcoin has been in a choppy trading range for almost a year now, bouncing between 30k and 65k. The up-or-down debate continues to be a favorite hobby for many, but it’s mostly noise. For Bitcoin, the network is what matters. Let's dig dee… ❤ 7.1K🔁 1.7K A few days ago I made the case that 40k could be the new 30k for Bitcoin, based on the rising intrinsic value from my S-curve model. I just came across an indicator that further suggests this: Dormancy flow. It has reached the kind of over… ❤ 3.7K🔁 922 In my view, it looks like the bottom is in. ❤ 4.4K🔁 789

💡 Facts

🗓️Joined X in 2014 — 11 years ago.
👁️Averages 19.9K views per post.
📤Posts about 0× per week.
💬1.76% engagement rate.
🏅Earned the 100K Followers for passing 100K followers.

🕵️ Fake follower check

Estimated
64/100
Good Credibility score
81%
Real Real audience
Low Fake-follower risk
High Data confidence
  • Est. 81% real, active audience · Low fake-follower risk.
  • Low engagement (~8.7% of followers engage each post) — a sign of an inflated or inactive audience.
  • Organic base — far more followers than accounts it follows.
  • Verified account.
  • Established account (11+ years old).
  • 1.76% engagement — around average for this size on X.

Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.

About

Dir. of Global Macro @Fidelity. Student of history, chart maker, cyclist, cook. Helping investors break thru the clutter. Views are mine. http://fidelity.com/socialAM

📸 Gallery

Historically, the odds of a 10% correction are 40%, a 25% bear market 20%, and a 50% bear market 2%. That means that statistically speaking the further the market falls the more likely it is to recover. Yes, some 20% declines become 50% “super bears,” but more often than not the Look who's bullish: Corporate insiders are buying their company stock again in size during this latest sell-off. As the saying goes, insiders sell for all kinds of reasons, but they only buy for one. Given the historical accuracy of their timing, it’s a glass-half-full sign. No bull: If a 14x forward multiple is the correct valuation, then simple math will tell us that the fair value for the S&P 500 is 3200-3400 at an EPS of $230. This suggests that this bear market is not yet over. Despite strong earnings, the rally from June lows led to a significant valuation creep. The key for this cycle: As the two-year yield goes, so goes the P/E ratio. The S&P 500 gave back two P/E points during the latest down leg, but it’s still more than three points overvalued. It’s time for a fresh take on Bitcoin’s supply/demand dynamics. Take a look at this first chart, and we’ll dive in. 🧵 An update on Bitcoin: Let’s take a look at my favorite metrics to see where things stand after last week’s sell-off. /THREAD The pandemic era market in one chart. Bitcoin, boring? Gasp! But boring is good if you want institutional adoption. 🧵

🔀 Audience overlap

Estimated

Estimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.

Namasthe Telangana Namasthe Telangana 18% Hindustan Unilever Hindustan Unilever 15% United Nations Geneva United Nations Geneva 12% NSE PLC NSE PLC 12% Nina Corpuz Nina Corpuz 10% Gamdom.com Gamdom.com 10%

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Jurrien Timmer has 229,169 followers on X.

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